Confidence level: what it means and how to read it

In the report: Level — The confidence level of the interval: ciLevel, 0.95 by default.

How to read it

0.95 means that in 95 samples of 100 an interval built this way would contain the true value.

In plain words

A baker weighed 30 loaves and the average was 500 grams. At the usual level, 0.95, the range for the true average loaf was 490 to 510 grams. This level means that if she weighed fresh loaves over and over, about 95 of every 100 ranges built this way would hold the true average. She wanted to be more careful, set the level to 99 ranges in every 100, and the range became wider: 485 to 515 grams. Now she can choose: a range 20 grams wide that holds the true average 95 times in 100, or one 30 grams wide that holds it 99 times in 100.

Example

The cell with Level is selected in each report; point at a label to see its note.

  • — the sample data (50 rows) the examples use
  • — =STATS_SPEARMAN(Data!A1:T51, "x,y",0.95,"two-sided")
  • — x1 and x2 with age held constant =STATS_PARTIAL(Data!A1:T51, "x1,x2", "age")
  • — =STATS_PAIRED(Data!A1:T51, "before,after",0.95,"two-sided")

Where you see it

Get it in your sheet

One formula in a cell gives the whole report, Confidence level included. ALS Stats is a free add-on for Google Sheets™.

Install ALS Stats from Google Workspace Marketplace (opens in a new tab)