p of the F change: what it means and how to read it

In the report: Sig. F Change — The p of F Change: P(F(df1, df2) > F Change). Empty when F Change is.

How to read it

Below 0.05 — the predictors added at this step help significantly beyond the earlier ones; at 0.05 or above — the step adds nothing reliable, and the simpler model is enough.

In plain words

A teacher added sleep hours in a second step, and her guess of the students' scores matched 31 parts out of 100 of their differences instead of 25. She wondered whether that small gain counts. She looked at Sig. F Change and found 0.006: luck alone would give a gain this big only about 6 times in 1000. Now she can say the gain is hard to put down to chance alone: sleep hours go with something on top of study hours. If luck alone could give such a gain 40 times in 100, she would say the step adds nothing reliable, and the simpler guess with study hours only is enough.

Example

The cell with Sig. F Change is selected in each report; point at a label to see its note.

  • — the sample data (50 rows) the examples use
  • — two steps: x1,x2, then x added =STATS_LINEAR(Data!A1:T51, "y", "x1,x2|x", 0)
  • — old syntax: regression steps, one-sample test against 15 =STATS_ANALYZE(Data!A1:T51, "linear(y|x1|x2) oneSample(x1|15)")

Where you see it

Get it in your sheet

One formula in a cell gives the whole report, p of the F change included. ALS Stats is a free add-on for Google Sheets™.

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